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  1. Mercati Predittivi
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  3. Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

7.0% (24h)IATecnologiaOne-Off1a
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
At least 70%
At least 70% 53%+7.0%
In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

8,8 €

Liquidità

21,4 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

48.0% / 53.0%

Spread

10.4%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 minuti fa

20 mag 26, 14:0031 dic 27, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

At least 70%53%

Regole

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 80% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 85% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercati Correlati

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

0 €
At least 50%: 89%KalshiKALSHI
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

14,1K €
Anthropic: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

7,9K €
Anthropic: 86%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has the #2 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

6,4K €
Anthropic: 62%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

146,8 €
≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Apple announce a major AI model partnership (e.g., OpenAI, Google, or Anthropic) at WWDC 2026?

0 €
Sì: 99.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,668.49+2.36%EthereumETH$1,651.07+1.73%SolanaSOL$65.14+1.77%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.92%BNBBNB$595.27+1.76%XRPXRP$1.12+0.46%

Notizie Correlate

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regole

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 80% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 85% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.