KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 30 30.3%-17.0ptIn testa tra 10 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
53 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
0,9 €
Liquidità
92K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
2 set 26, 16:00 UTC5 gen 27, 13:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ...
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:IMF PortWatch
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 25,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume totale
- 6,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 107,6K €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 104,5K €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026??
- Kalshi quota Above 30 al 30% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026??
- How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 5 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.