KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeBefore 2027 58.7%In testa tra 3 esiti
Qualita del mercato
50 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
57,1 €
Liquidità
18,6K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
41.0% / 47.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
1 gen 26, 15:001 ott 26, 3:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Before October40%
Confronta le piattaforme· Before 2027
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Media | 64% | — | 57,1 € | 18,6K € | 8 minuti fa | |
 Manifold Markets90% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 5% | — | — | — | l’altro ieri | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Grok 5 (xAI) release date
1m
-11.0pt5.2%
-5.1pt2.3%
0%
+10 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità64 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$652 lug24g di dati27 lug
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If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.