KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2028 70%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualità del mercato
42 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
410,6 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 43 minuti fa
8 lug 26, 0:001 ott 26, 14:00
Trend
Regole
If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and the named outcome. then the market resolves to Yes.
- Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the Senate.
Mercati aperti
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt51%
- No change-4.0pt47.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 59,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,2 Mln €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+6.0pt51.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt45.7%
- Hike >25bps-1.0pt0.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt50.2%
- Fed maintains rate-5.0pt44%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 247,7K €
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before July 2027+2.0pt80%
- Before 2028-1.0pt80%
- Before 2027+7.0pt71%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt66.3%
- No-1.0pt33.7%
- Volume totale
- 7,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 43,9K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.4pt88%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt8%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.3pt3%
+10 altri esiti
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed decision in September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 1, 2028 al 70% al 31 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor??
- When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and the named outcome. then the market resolves to Yes.