KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Exactly 2 63.2%-4.4ptIn testa tra 13 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
75 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
6,7K €
Liquidità
62,5K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.9 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
26 feb 26, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the number of rate changes before 2027 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Federal Reserve
- A ‘rate change’ means a single decision that changes the target range, regardless of size (e.g., a 50 bp hike counts as one).
- A later 50 bp cut counts as an additional rate change.
Mercati aperti
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt49.5%
- No change-4.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 5,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 Mln €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.3pt4%
- Exactly 3 cuts+0.5pt1%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.6pt97.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt2.1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt49.5%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt46.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase-3.0pt65%
- No change+3.0pt31.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt1.9%
+2 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- H 25+13.0pt64.9%
- H 0-5.0pt28.9%
- H 26-1.0pt3.5%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Number of Fed rate changes before 2027?
- Kalshi quota Exactly 2 al 63% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Number of Fed rate changes before 2027?
- Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Number of Fed rate changes before 2027?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the number of rate changes before 2027 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.