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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Scienza
  3. When will El Niño conditions be declared present?
When will El Niño conditions be declared present?

When will El Niño conditions be declared present?

7.0% (24h)One-OffScienzaWeather1m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026 70%+7.0%
In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

1,2 €

Liquidità

46,8 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

64.0% / 71.0%

Spread

10.9%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 6 minuti fa

2 giu 26, 14:0014 lug 26, 3:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Before Jul 1, 202670%

Regole

If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

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Regole

If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.