KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Exactly 0.2% 50.5%In testa tra 8 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
3,7K €
Liquidità mediaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
15 dic 25, 15:00 UTC10 nov 26, 13:29 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly -0.2% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price IndexBureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly -0.1% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly 0.0% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly 0.3% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 97,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,9 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 702,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 89,3K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+7.0pt73%
- September Meeting+10.5pt64%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+5.0pt79.2%
- No-5.0pt20.8%
- Volume totale
- 7,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 43,1K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 400,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 34,3K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)-5.0pt44.3%
- 2 (50 bps)+7.0pt28.3%
- 0 (0 bps)-5.5pt17%
+3 altri esiti
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI core in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- CPI core month-over-month in Aug 2026?
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per CPI core month-over-month in Oct 2026??
- Kalshi quota Exactly 0.2% al 50% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve CPI core month-over-month in Oct 2026??
- CPI core month-over-month in Oct 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 10 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato CPI core month-over-month in Oct 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly -0.2% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.