KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Hike 1-25bps 95.2%In testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
55 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
8,4K €
Liquidità
74,8K €
Alta liquiditàDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
22 lug 26, 21:00 UTC10 set 26, 12:14 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
European Central Bank rate decision in December
KalshiEuropean Central Bank rate decision in October
KalshiCzech National Bank rate decision in September
KalshiWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 1.9% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending September, 10, 2026?
ForecastExWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026?
ForecastExWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 1.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending September, 10, 2026?
ForecastExRegole
If the European Central Bank takes the action of the named outcome at September ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 · 25 bps increase 98%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 · 25 bps increase 100%
Mercati aperti
Central Banks
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change-9.0pt81.2%
- 25 bps increase+9.5pt18.8%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 71,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 22,3K €
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase+0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase-0.3pt97%
- No change+0.1pt2%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt94.3%
- Hike more than 25bps1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 159K €
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate+11.0pt93.4%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
- Hike 25bps-32.0pt0.9%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 44,1K €
POLYMARKETReserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
- No change-0.5pt89%
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt11%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Norway rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
- Bank of England decision in November?
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Swiss National Bank rate decision in September
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per European Central Bank rate decision in September?
- Kalshi quota Hike 1-25bps al 95% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve European Central Bank rate decision in September?
- European Central Bank rate decision in September dovrebbe risolversi il 10 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato European Central Bank rate decision in September?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the European Central Bank takes the action of the named outcome at September ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato European Central Bank rate decision in September?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Limitless, Polymarket.