KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Hike 25bps 84.8%+1.0ptIn testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
75 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
3,6K €
Liquidità
41,7K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 27 minuti fa
28 lug 26, 21:1518 set 26, 2:29
Trend
Regole
If the Bank of Japan takes the action of the named outcome at the September 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Riferimento CoinRithm 25 bps increase 86% · 2 piattaforme · banda di 13 pt
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — Bank of Japan interest rate decision — September 2026 · 25 bps increase 72%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Bank of Japan Decision in September? · 25 bps increase 85%
Mercati aperti
Central BanksKALSHINumber of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 5 cuts+30.0pt66%
- Exactly 4 cuts-19.0pt21.4%
- 7 or more cuts-12.0pt5.8%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 61,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 11,6K €
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in August?
- 25 bps hike-6.0pt70.3%
- No Change+7.5pt29.7%
- 50+ bps cut-0.5pt0%
+2 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+2.0pt63.4%
- H 25+1.0pt22.3%
- C 25+1.0pt8.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Productivity+5.0pt79%
- Independent / Independence70%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence-9.0pt70%
+17 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase85%
- No change-0.5pt14%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBank of Brazil decision in September?
- 25 bps decrease+1.6pt90%
- No Change-2.0pt10%
- 50+ bps increase0%
+2 altri esiti
- ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Bank of Canada Decision in September?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Bank of Korea rate decision in August
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Bank of Japan rate decision in September?
- Kalshi quota Hike 25bps al 85% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Bank of Japan rate decision in September?
- Bank of Japan rate decision in September dovrebbe risolversi il 18 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Bank of Japan rate decision in September?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Bank of Japan takes the action of the named outcome at the September 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Bank of Japan rate decision in September?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Futuur, Polymarket.