PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
25 bps increase 100%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
87 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
40,4K €
Liquidità
160,6K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
17 giu 26, 22:53 UTC10 set 26, 11:59 UTC
Trend
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
Polymarket🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Fed lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the House pass a cap on federal student loan interest rates?
KalshiWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExRegole
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per 25 bps increase è del 100%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 1 punto percentuale tra le piattaforme più distanti. Le piattaforme non concordano su quale esito sia in vantaggio.
Riferimento CoinRithm 25 bps increase 100% · 2 piattaforme · 1 pt di scarto tra venue
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — European Central Bank rate decision in September · Hike 1-25bps 95%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 · 25 bps increase 98%
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per ECB Interest Rates: September 2026?
- Polymarket quota 25 bps increase al 100% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve ECB Interest Rates: September 2026?
- ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 10 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato ECB Interest Rates: September 2026?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- Dove altro è quotato ECB Interest Rates: September 2026?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi, Limitless.
