PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale25 bps increase 80%+0.5%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato
91 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
758,3 €
Liquidità
29,5K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
79.0% / 81.0%
Spread
2.5%
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
-7.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 minuti fa
17 giu 26, 22:5310 set 26, 11:59
Trend
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
25 bps increase80%
Confronta le piattaforme· 25 bps increase
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Alta | 80% | — | 758,3 € | 29,5K € | 18 minuti fa | |
 Kalshi64% di corrispondenza · auto | Bassa | 1% | — | 0 € | 132,7 € | 18 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
European Central Bank rate decision in September
1m
1%
1%
1%
+2 altri esiti
28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale132,7 €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRegole
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$8632 lug25g di dati26 lug
Mercati Correlati
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
120,2 €No change: 59%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
34,7 €Sì: 22%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETECB rate cut in 2026?
9,7 €Sì: 13%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will replace Christine Lagarde at the European Central Bank?
0 €Isabel Schnabel: 98%
PREDICTIT
PREDICTIT
Will the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?
147,7 €Sì: 13.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Ecusfed 26 OCT
1,5K €H 0: 58%ROTHERA
ROTHERAAttivi in questi argomenti
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This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).