KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 87%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
3,1K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
8.1% / 12.0%
Spread
3.9 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
29 lug 25, 14:00 UTC8 gen 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will BRICS have a new member join or current member leave first?
Manifold MarketsWill BRICS add a new member in 2026?
PolymarketWill a country leave BRICS in 2026?
PolymarketWill any ex-Nijisanji member join Phase Connect before June 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any ex-Hololive member join Phase Connect before June 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegole
If BRICS invites a new country to be a member before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will BRICS invite a new member to join them before 2027??
- Kalshi quota No al 87% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will BRICS invite a new member to join them before 2027??
- Will BRICS invite a new member to join them before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 8 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will BRICS invite a new member to join them before 2027??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If BRICS invites a new country to be a member before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.