FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificatiProbabilità implicita attuale
No 94%
No 94%Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
628,4 €
Bassa liquiditàTrader
3
Commenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
This event predicts whether South Korea will possess at least one operational nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be authoritative confirmations from the South Korean government, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), or other internationally recognized bodies confirming possession of a nuclear weapon.
- If authoritative sources confirm that South Korea possesses an operational nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Public statements, political debate, or hypothetical discussions about nuclear armament will not count.
- If confirmation is ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations citing authoritative assessments.