FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificatiProbabilità implicita attuale
No 94%
No 94%Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
648,8 €
Bassa liquiditàTrader
11
Commenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall?
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Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegole
This event predicts whether the state of Iran will formally cease to be designated as an Islamic Republic at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, a qualifying outcome means an official change in the country’s constitutional name or form of government that removes the “Islamic Republic” designation.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements by Iran’s government or constitutional documents reflecting such a change.
- If Iran officially changes its constitutional name or form of government to omit the “Islamic Republic” designation during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- A coup, contested proclamation, or unrecognized declaration will not count unless acknowledged by Iran’s governing institutions or recognized by the United Nations.