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US Core PCE inflation (month-over-month) — September
Headline PCE inflation in September
Will September 2026 core PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Will the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceed 3% in September 2026?
Will the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceed 3.6% in September 2026?
Will the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceed 3.2% in September 2026?
Regole
Markets in this event resolve according to the seasonally adjusted 12-month percentage change in core PCE (the PCE price index excluding food and energy) for the period ending September 2026, as published to one decimal place in the BEA Personal Income and Outlays release scheduled for October 29, 2026.
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