Will US attack Iran by February 15?
Géopolitique
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No
Résolu: 16 févr. 2024, 07:02
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Qualite du marche
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 147 jours
Obsolète22 janv. 24, 23:3715 févr. 24, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America initiates a military attack on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between January 22 and February 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a "military attack" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is subject to a US missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. federal government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
- In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will US attack Iran by February 15? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 100% au 31 mars 2026.
- Quand Will US attack Iran by February 15? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will US attack Iran by February 15? doit être résolu le 15 février 2024.
- Comment Will US attack Iran by February 15? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America initiates a military attack on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between January 22 and February 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".