Will Israel attack Iran by February 15?
Géopolitique
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No
Résolu: 16 févr. 2024, 07:01
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Qualite du marche
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 123 jours
Obsolète25 janv. 24, 19:2715 févr. 24, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military attack on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between January 25 and February 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a "military attack" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is subject to a Israeli missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
- This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions.
- Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
- In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 100% au 25 avril 2026.
- Quand Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? doit être résolu le 15 février 2024.
- Comment Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military attack on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between January 25 and February 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.