PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Yes
Résolu: 18 juil. 2026, 05:08
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 100%+0.2pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
27,7 k €
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueAchat / Vente
99.9% / 100.0%
Écart
0.1 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 44 jours
Obsolète12 juil. 26, 20:5019 juil. 26, 23:59
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes99%
No0%
100%
0%
Règles
On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces a qualifying extension of access to "Claude Fable 5" beyond July 19, 2026, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying extension requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans.
- An extension covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify.
- The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.
