Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 sept. 2026, 21:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
September 2 53%+26.0ptEn tête parmi 16 options
Qualité du marché
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
15,2 k €
Liquidité
20,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
13.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard31 août 26, 20:0915 sept. 26, 23:59
Tendances
0%
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Règles
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
