Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
Géopolitique
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Israel 100%En tête parmi 38 options
Qualité du marché
7 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 154 jours
Obsolète28 févr. 26, 16:3731 mars 26, 0:00
Tendances
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on a listed country's soil or any official embassy or consulate of a listed country on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a listed country's ground territory or any official embassy or consulate of that country (e.g., if a weapons depot on a listed country soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
- Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on a listed country's territory or cause damage.
- Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted as Israel.
- Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
Marchés ouverts
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- July 18+0.3pt100%
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+20 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 23,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 404,8 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- October 31+3.0pt40%
- September 30+1.0pt21%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- 283,2 k €
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- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt25%
- October 31-1.0pt13%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIran full airspace closure by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- September 3012%
- June 30+0.3pt0%
+7 résultats de plus
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
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- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Iran military action against ___ by March 31? ?
- Polymarket cote Israel à 100% au 31 mars 2026.
- Quand Iran military action against ___ by March 31? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Iran military action against ___ by March 31? doit être résolu le 31 mars 2026.
- Comment Iran military action against ___ by March 31? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on a listed country's soil or any official embassy or consulate of a listed country on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".