PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Meta 35%En tête parmi 13 options
Qualité du marché
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,4 k €
Liquidité
2,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
15 sept. 26, 00:22 UTC1 nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
PolymarketFrontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?
PolymarketWill any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill HOC beat the big AI labs to AGI?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.
- The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns.
- A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.8pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 70,3 k €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,4 k €
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude90.7%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT0.9%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 21,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 21,9 k €
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 20,9 k €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31? ?
- Polymarket cote Meta à 35% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31? doit être résolu le 1 novembre 2026.
- Comment Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models.