PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: June 30
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
June 30 100%+88.0ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
88,1 k €
Liquidité
318,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.1 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
+70.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 108 jours
Obsolète26 déc. 25, 19:4430 juin 26, 0:00
Tendances
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Nigerian soil or any official Nigerian embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Nigerian ground territory or any official Nigerian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Nigerian soil is hit by a US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
- Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Nigerian territory or cause damage.
- Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour U.S. strike on Nigeria by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote June 30 à 100% au 16 mai 2026.
- Quand U.S. strike on Nigeria by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- U.S. strike on Nigeria by which date? doit être résolu le 30 juin 2026.
- Comment U.S. strike on Nigeria by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Nigerian soil or any official Nigerian embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.