Probabilité implicite actuelle
1st hottest 84.2%+6.5ptEn tête parmi 4 options
1st hottest 84.2%+6.5ptQualité du marché
69 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,3 k €
Liquidité
6,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
30 sept. 26, 14:06 UTC29 nov. 26, 17:14 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
NFL: Will the Green Bay Packers finish 1st or 2nd in the NFC North AND win 10+ games in the 2026–27 regular season?
Manifold MarketsHow long will Sanae Takaichi be the prime minister of Japan? (She assumed office on October 21st, 2025.)
Manifold Markets[5k Subsidy] Which diseases will be eliminated first in the USA? 1st solved 100%, 2nd 95%, 3rd 90%, etc. until mid 2036
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before October 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2026 versus the data points available for all other Octobers on record.
- Note: If October 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
- If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
- If no information for October 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
