Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 83.5%
Non 83.5%Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 54 minutes
En retard30 nov. 23, 23:28 UTC1 janv. 28, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
October 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
PolymarketHow long will Sanae Takaichi be the prime minister of Japan? (She assumed office on October 21st, 2025.)
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KalshiWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketGemini 4.0 released by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.
- Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can.
- It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.
- Resolves as true if such a system is created and publicly announced before October 1st 2027
- Here are markets with the same criteria:
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-2027