PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
October 28 15%En tête parmi 32 options
October 28 15%Qualité du marché
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,3 k €
Liquidité
10,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
1 oct. 26, 00:12 UTC1 nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released by which date?
PolymarketWhen will a new Claude Haiku be released (after 4.5)?
Manifold MarketsClaude Haiku dying in 3 months?
Manifold MarketsWill a new Claude Haiku model be released in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketWill a non-lab AI-only effort solve a Millennium Problem in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Haiku" and be designated as version 4.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 4.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Haiku 4.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Haiku 5, while models whose name does not include "Haiku" or which retain a version designation below 4.6, such as Claude Haiku 4.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website.
