PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 99%+1.3ptEn tête parmi 5 options
December 31 99%+1.3ptQualité du marché
63 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
614,8 €
Liquidité
9,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
1 juil. 26, 22:49 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
August 31Perdu
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 0,1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will a new Claude Haiku be released (after 4.5)?
Manifold MarketsNext Claude Haiku (4.6+) released on?
PolymarketWill a new Claude Haiku model be released in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsClaude Haiku dying in 3 months?
Manifold MarketsNext Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Haiku" and be designated as version 4.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 4.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Haiku 4.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Haiku 5, while models whose name does not include "Haiku" or which retain a version designation below 4.6, such as Claude Haiku 4.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
