Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 92.5%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
1 oct. 26, 07:17 UTC31 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released on?
PolymarketClaude Haiku dying in 3 months?
Manifold MarketsNext Claude Haiku (4.6+) released by which date?
PolymarketWhen will a new Claude Haiku be released (after 4.5)?
Manifold MarketsNext Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketGPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Anthropic officially releases a new model in the "Haiku" tier during the month of October 2026 (between October 1, 2026, and October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- To qualify for a YES resolution, the model must meet the following conditions:
- It must be officially announced by Anthropic or listed as a generally available or publicly accessible to claude.ai, Claude Code, or API users.
- It must explicitly feature "Haiku" in its official name (e.g., Claude Haiku 5.5).
