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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
2 oct. 26, 20:05 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic Claims to Solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2027?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI Claims to Solve another Millennium Prize Problem before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI solve a new millennium prize problem by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold Marketswill lucas solve a millenium prize problem in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
I (Bayesian) bet the mathematician Elliot Glazer that a Millennium Problem will be solved in 2026 by a non-lab AI-only effort.
- More details here:
- [image]This bet will resolve on the basis of Daniel Litt's judgement.
