PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréRéglé par le fournisseur, marché par marché
Résolu: 19 sept. 2026, 04:06
Cet événement n'a pas de gagnant unique. Le fournisseur a réglé chaque marché séparément ; chaque marché affiche son propre résultat.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 20 sept. 2026, 00:25 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Chronologie des Probabilités
September 15100%
September 30100%
September 15Gagné
September 30Gagné
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a NATO aircraft shoot down a missile or drone fired towards a target in Ukraine before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNATO country shoots down Israeli aircraft, missile, or drone before 2031?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: October
PolymarketWill Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine Peace Combo
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a NATO military downs another Russian drone by any means (kinetic, jammer, etc.) between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM Kyiv Time.
- A “Russian drone” refers to any drone that, based on a consensus of credible reporting, was launched from territory under Russia’s de facto control or was operated or directed by Russian forces.
- Where attribution remains ambiguous, the drone’s model and characteristics will be considered supporting evidence.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying incident will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources.
- Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant incident, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the incident based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (CEST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the incident.