NATO downs another Russian drone by which date?
1.0 pts (24h)GéopolitiqueOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope22j
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 30 33%-3.5pt
Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
227,7 €
Liquidité
684,8 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
13.0% / 22.0%
Écart
9.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-22.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
28 août 26, 22:23 UTC30 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a NATO military downs another Russian drone by any means (kinetic, jammer, etc.) between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM Kyiv Time.
- A “Russian drone” refers to any drone that, based on a consensus of credible reporting, was launched from territory under Russia’s de facto control or was operated or directed by Russian forces.
- Where attribution remains ambiguous, the drone’s model and characteristics will be considered supporting evidence.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying incident will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources.
- Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant incident, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the incident based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (CEST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the incident.