PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
1430+ 8%-68.0ptEn tête parmi 4 options
1430+ 8%-68.0ptQualité du marché
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
21,1 k €
Liquidité
5,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneCommentaires
1
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 28 minutes
7 oct. 26, 16:58 UTC1 juil. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?
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PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketWhich AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
KalshiOpenAI market share this week
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mistral AI's Mistral Large 4 model, when added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must be Mistral Large 4 (released in public preview on October 6, 2026), identified by a name or model identifier that includes "Mistral" and "Large" with a version designation of 4 or 4.0, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors — for example, mistral-large-4-0 or Mistral-Large-4.0.
- Models with any other version designation, such as Mistral Large 3 or a later Mistral Large 4.1, and models whose name does not include "Large," such as Mistral Medium 3.5 or Ministral, Magistral, Codestral, Devstral, Pixtral, or Voxtral models, will not qualify.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.