Israel military action against Gaza on?
Géopolitique
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
April 3 100%+57.5ptEn tête parmi 30 options
Qualité du marché
7 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 142 jours
Obsolète24 mars 26, 17:1430 avr. 26, 0:00
Tendances
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
- A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
- Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
- Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Israel military action against Gaza on? ?
- Polymarket cote April 3 à 100% au 12 avril 2026.
- Quand Israel military action against Gaza on? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Israel military action against Gaza on? doit être résolu le 30 avril 2026.
- Comment Israel military action against Gaza on? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".