PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
4.58% 78%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
575,2 €
Liquidité
5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
3 sept. 26, 01:06 UTC30 sept. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Futuur10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
Kalshi30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026.
- If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour 4.58% est de 78%.
Référence CoinRithm 4.58% 78% · 2 plateformes · 0 pt d’ecart entre venues
