Houthi military action against Israel by which date?
Géopolitique
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: April 15
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
April 15 100%+74.0pt
Qualité du marché
7 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 154 jours
Obsolète20 mars 26, 14:2830 avr. 26, 0:00
Tendances
99%
100%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
- Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
- Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 23,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 404,8 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt62%
- October 31+3.0pt40%
- September 30+1.0pt21%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 55 M €
- Volume 24h
- 283,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt70.3%
- New People (NL)-2.1pt23.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt25%
- October 31-1.0pt13%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIran full airspace closure by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- September 3012%
- June 30+0.3pt0%
+7 résultats de plus
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Iran invades Kuwait by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Houthi military action against Israel by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote April 15 à 100% au 31 mars 2026.
- Quand Houthi military action against Israel by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Houthi military action against Israel by which date? doit être résolu le 30 avril 2026.
- Comment Houthi military action against Israel by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".