PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Moody 9-12% 24.2%-0.5ptEn tête parmi 10 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
469,9 €
Liquidité
92,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+7.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
4 août 26, 18:01 UTC3 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner
PolymarketFlorida Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketFlorida Senate Election: Broward County Winner
PolymarketWhat will be the margin in the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Manifold MarketsFlorida Senate winner?
KalshiFlorida Senate: which counties will Angie Nixon win?
KalshiRègles
The 2026 Florida Special Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively.
- Independent candidates will not represent options for either party.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+3.0pt77%
- New People (NL)-3.2pt19%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 27,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 191,9 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party88.1%
- Republican Party-1.0pt11.9%
- Volume total
- 28,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 728,5 k €
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico+2.0pt56%
- Ken Paxton-3.0pt44%
- Volume total
- 11,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 609,2 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.4pt55.6%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt43.4%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt5%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
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- Florida Governor winner?
- Next French Presidential Election
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- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory ?
- Polymarket cote Moody 9-12% à 24% au 18 septembre 2026.
- Quand Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory sera-t-il résolu ?
- Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The 2026 Florida Special Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.