Florida Senate margin of victory
4.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 202612mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 3 nov. 2026, 12:46 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Moody, 1+ pts · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Moody, 1+ pts 81%En tête parmi 22 options
Moody, 1+ pts 81%Qualité du marché
70 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
58 k €
Intérêt ouvert
227,8 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
— / —
Moody, 1+ ptsÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard28 avr. 26, 01:02 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Moody, 1+ pts
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Florida Division of Elections
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Republican Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Republican Party will be summed. If the Republican Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Republican Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Republican Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Republican Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Règles de chaque résultat
- Moody, 1+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 2+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 3+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 3.5+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 3.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 4+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 4.5+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 4.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 5+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 5.5+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 5.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 6+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 6.5+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 6.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 7+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 7.5+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 7.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 8+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 8.5+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 8.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 9+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 10+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 11+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 12+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 13+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 14+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 16+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moody, 18+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
