KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Abbott, 3+ pts 54%-8.0ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
55 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
754,3 €
Liquidité
6 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
29 avr. 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Texas Governor margin of victory ?
- Kalshi cote Abbott, 3+ pts à 54% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Texas Governor margin of victory sera-t-il résolu ?
- Texas Governor margin of victory doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment Texas Governor margin of victory est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.