Will any US Senate election in 2026 have a winning margin of 1.000% or less?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 63.9%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète7 sept. 26, 01:20 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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GeminiRègles
Resolves yes if any us senate election in 2026 has a winning margin of 1.000% or less.
- If a senate goes to a runoff (eg.
- Georgia) resolves based on runoff only.
- First round ignored.
- In Alaska and Maine with ranked choice voting, resolves yes if the final round margin is 1.000% or less.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will any US Senate election in 2026 have a winning margin of 1.000% or less? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 64% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will any US Senate election in 2026 have a winning margin of 1.000% or less? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will any US Senate election in 2026 have a winning margin of 1.000% or less? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will any US Senate election in 2026 have a winning margin of 1.000% or less? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves yes if any us senate election in 2026 has a winning margin of 1.000% or less.