Will any US Senate election in 2026 have a winning margin of 1.000% or less?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection1mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 99%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
7 sept. 26, 01:20 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolves yes if any us senate election in 2026 has a winning margin of 1.000% or less.
- If a senate goes to a runoff (eg.
- Georgia) resolves based on runoff only.
- First round ignored.
- In Alaska and Maine with ranked choice voting, resolves yes if the final round margin is 1.000% or less.
