PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Non · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Référence enregistrée
Non 98%
Non 98%Qualité du marché
87 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
118,7 k €
Liquidité
77,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeIntérêt ouvert
91,2 k $US
Achat / Vente
— / —
NonÉcart
—
Commentaires
8
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 40 minutes
13 nov. 26, 21:35 UTC1 déc. 26, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 0,1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Non
Principaux détenteurs
Chargement des principaux détenteurs
Profondeur du marché · Non
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketTime's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government officially attributes the November 13, 2026, FAA outage to Iran between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The FAA outage refers to the equipment and communications outage that led the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) to issue a nationwide ground stop on departures from U.S. airports on November 13, 2026.
- A qualifying attribution is a public statement by an authorized representative of the U.S. federal government acting in an official capacity stating that the outage was carried out, caused, ordered, or directed by the Iranian state, including its armed forces (including the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)) or intelligence services, or by persons acting on their instructions.
- Criminal charges filed by U.S. federal prosecutors alleging that the outage was caused on behalf of the aforementioned Iranian state services will also qualify.
- Attributions to Iranian proxy or partner groups, such as Hezbollah, will not qualify, unless the statement also states that the Iranian state, as defined above, carried out, ordered, or directed the outage.