PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Non · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Référence enregistrée
Non 97%
Non 97%Qualité du marché
83 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
50,2 k €
Liquidité
53,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeIntérêt ouvert
27,7 k $US
Achat / Vente
— / —
NonÉcart
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Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
13 nov. 26, 21:56 UTC1 déc. 26, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 0,1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Non
Principaux détenteurs
Chargement des principaux détenteurs
Profondeur du marché · Non
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
FAA outage attributed to Iran?
PolymarketNext Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
PolymarketForeign intervention in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by which date?
PolymarketWho will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?
KalshiWill a foreign missile strike a civilian target in California before 2036?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government officially attributes the November 13, 2026, FAA outage to a foreign actor between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The FAA outage refers to the equipment and communications outage that led the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) to issue a nationwide ground stop on departures from U.S. airports on November 13, 2026.
- A foreign actor is any foreign state, including its armed forces (e.g., Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)) or intelligence services, or persons acting on their instructions, as well as any organization or group based outside the United States, including proxy or partner groups such as Hezbollah and criminal hacking groups.
- A qualifying attribution is a public statement by an authorized representative of the U.S. federal government acting in an official capacity stating that the outage was carried out, caused, ordered, or directed by a foreign actor.
- Criminal charges filed by U.S. federal prosecutors alleging that the outage was caused by or on behalf of a foreign actor will also qualify.