PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
2027 27%
Qualité du marché
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
17,4 €
Liquidité
13,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
6.0% / 48.0%
Écart
42.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
1
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
17 sept. 26, 17:12 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Armenia formally apply for EU membership by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsCanada submits formal application for EU membership before January 20, 2029
Manifold MarketsWill the next change in NATO membership result in an increase in the number of members?
Manifold MarketsCanada becomes EU Associate Member by which date?
PolymarketCanada admitted to the EU before 2029?
PolymarketWill the United States impose additional tariffs on EU by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Canada formally submits an application for Canada to become an EU member state to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A formal application means a written request for Canada to become a member state of the European Union The application must be submitted by the Government of Canada or by a representative acting with its authority.
- An application will qualify even if it seeks or anticipates opt-outs, exemptions, or transition periods on specific European Union policies.
- A request, proposal, negotiation, or agreement concerning associate membership, an "Alliance for the Future" or other partnership, an association agreement, a framework agreement, membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union, or any other status short of membership will not qualify.
- Statements of intent, expressions of interest, exploratory talks, parliamentary motions, petitions, and proposals or invitations from the European Union or any of its member states will not qualify.
