PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
No change 96%-0.3ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
66 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
155,3 €
Liquidité
11 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.7 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+0.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
24 juin 26, 00:30 UTC24 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour No change est de 97%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 2 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes. Les plateformes ne s'accordent pas sur l'issue en tête.
Référence CoinRithm No change 97% · 2 plateformes · 2 pt d’ecart entre venues
- Également disponible sur Futuur — Bank of Mexico interest rate decision — September 2026 · No change 92%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Bank of Mexico rate decision in September · Maintain current rate 85%
Marchés ouverts
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volume total
- 3,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 45,5 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volume total
- 997 k €
- Volume 24h
- 41,2 k €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Bank of Mexico Decision in September? ?
- Polymarket cote No change à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Bank of Mexico Decision in September? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Bank of Mexico Decision in September? doit être résolu le 24 septembre 2026.
- Comment Bank of Mexico Decision in September? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- Où Bank of Mexico Decision in September? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Futuur, Kalshi.