Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.9%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
10 janv. 24, 23:29 UTC1 mars 34, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill we get room temperature superconductors before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill we get room temperature superconductors before 2029?
Manifold MarketsNear room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
KalshiNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2034.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-e940f30870be
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ebfceb8eefc5
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-f41118c07313
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-3ccf49dbe194
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11,6 k €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No-1.0pt93.1%
- Yes+1.0pt6.9%
- Volume total
- 921 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,7 k €
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11%45%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-1.0pt60%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 869,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 k €
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volume total
- 612,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2034? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 73% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2034? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2034? doit être résolu le 1 mars 2034.
- Comment Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2034? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2034.