Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 64.1%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète11 févr. 24, 16:29 UTC1 mars 00, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will we get fusion reactors before a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWhich organisation will be first to successfully land a human that walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill we get room temperature superconductors before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill we get room temperature superconductors before we discover alien life?
Manifold MarketsNear room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Oct 25, 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before a human ventures out onto the Martian surface.
- Room temperature superconductor questions:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-e940f30870be
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ebfceb8eefc5
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-f41118c07313
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-3ccf49dbe194
