KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 96%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
2,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
2.0% / 4.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
13 mai 26, 22:00 UTC2 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill artificial room temperature intelligence exist by 2027? (Fahrenheit)
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before we get room temperature superconductors?
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiRègles
If a peer-reviewed paper published in an eligible journal reports the discovery of a material exhibiting the Meissner effect at ambient pressure with a critical temperature of at least 240 K before January 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Kalshi
- Eligible journals are those in the first quartile (Q1) of SCImago's condensed matter physics ranking or any journal with an SJR above 1.0.
- The material need not be a previously researched substance.
Marchés ouverts
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 232,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 227,3 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 186,1 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volume total
- 66,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 28,6 k €
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a peer-reviewed paper published in an eligible journal reports the discovery of a material exhibiting the Meissner effect at ambient pressure with a critical temperature of at least 240 K before January 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.