Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 76.1%
Prévisionnistes
40
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
27 août 23, 15:37 UTC8 déc. 50, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?
KalshiWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028
Manifold MarketsWhen will Volodymyr Zelenskyy announce national elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy stop being president of Ukraine before the Russia-Ukraine war ends.
Manifold MarketsWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine through the end of 2026?
FutuurWhere will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves when one of them is confirmed dead and the other is alive.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.0pt77%
- September 18+4.0pt72%
- September 11+8.0pt67%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 512,6 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-0.8pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-2.5pt27.8%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt84.2%
- Yes-5.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 9,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 266,5 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 56,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 170,4 k €
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 76% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy? doit être résolu le 8 décembre 2050.
- Comment Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves when one of them is confirmed dead and the other is alive.