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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète26 déc. 23, 18:40 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will US unemployment be 25% or more before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill US unemployment be 15% or more before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUS unemployment rate at year-end 2029
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExRègles
"unemployment" refers to the monthly unemployment rate published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
- The monthly US unemployment rate has been 10% or more on three occasions since recording began: 2020 (14.7%), 2009 (10.0%), and 1982 (10.8%).
- See data from BLS or St Louis Fed below:
- (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=1cpNO&width=670&height=475)Will the United States have an unemployment rate of 10% or more in any month before the end of this decade?
- @/cash/will-us-unemployment-be-15-or-more
- @/cash/will-us-unemployment-be-20-or-more
