Will Ukraine fire an ATACMS missile into Russia before September 1st 2026?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffRussie / Ukraine1mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 98.2%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 35 minutes
15 mai 24, 16:34 UTC5 déc. 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Ukraine has fired an ATACMS missile into Russia before September 1st 2026.
- If there is only weak evidence that this has occurred, this question resolves as N/A. If there is no evidence, then this question resolves as NO.
- "Russia" is defined as its 1991 borders.
- Crimea/Donbas are not Russia.
