Will two Democratic and two GOP Senators cosponsor an AI bill that mentions widespread job loss from AI before 2030?
ÉconomieIAOne-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineMoyen-Orient3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 60.1%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète7 avr. 26, 04:16 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This description was generated by AI.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2030, a bill is introduced in the United States Senate that meets all of the following conditions:
- It is formally cosponsored by at least two Democratic Senators and at least two Republican Senators.
- The text of the bill explicitly mentions "widespread job loss" (or a grammatically equivalent phrase clearly referring to the phenomenon of broad-based unemployment) resulting from artificial intelligence.
- The market will resolve to NO if no such bill is introduced and cosponsored by January 1, 2030.
