Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNo convergence on a term by EOY 2027 40.5%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète1 juin 25, 16:59 UTC1 janv. 28, 17:53 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Just as "vibecoding" and "slop" quickly became the established terms for the novel AI-driven phenomena they were describing, one might expect convergence on a popular term for the possibility of mass job loss precipitated by modern AI.
- A qualifying term must be mainly used to refer to AI job loss in general, or the abstract idea of a set of AI-induced layoff, rather than a specific set of layoffs or job loss in a particular economic sector (more specific than "white-collar workers").
- I'll resolve if it seems like popular culture has mostly converged on a single term.
- This will necessarily be a vibes-y resolution.
- To decide when to resolve, I'll draw from sources including popular X posts, Reddit, and news articles (a la this one about vibecoding in the NYT).
- I'll also give time for commenters to discuss the extent to which a term has solidified, and the extent to which there are extant rival terms, before resolving.
