Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 75.7%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète11 mars 24, 00:09 UTC31 déc. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will things basically be fine regarding job loss and unemployment due to AI in the next several years?
Manifold MarketsWill two Democratic and two GOP Senators cosponsor an AI bill that mentions widespread job loss from AI before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' 5 AI Predictions For The Year 2030.
- Also, don't miss Forbes/Rob Toews' "10 AI Predictions For 2024" (all gathered under one tag.
- I will resolve to whatever Forbes/Rob Toews say in their resolution article for 2030's predictions.
- I might bet in this market, as I have no power over the resolution.
- The other 2030 prediction markets below: 1.
- Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower than it is today.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 M €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+19.0pt57%
- 180-199-5.5pt35%
- 200-219-6.8pt5%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 319,9 k €
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+7.0pt68.3%
- Before March 2027-3.0pt19.2%
- Before February 2027+2.0pt8.3%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No50.6%
- Yes49.4%
- Volume total
- 217,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 215,2 k €
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily
- Meta (META) Up or Down - Daily
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 10, 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 10, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues. ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 76% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand 2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues. sera-t-il résolu ?
- 2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues. doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.
- Comment 2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues. est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' 5 AI Predictions For The Year 2030.