Will there be any genetic modification which substantially reduces suffering in vertebrates by end of 2026?
One-OffScienceHealth & Medicine3mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 91%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète10 févr. 24, 15:52 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
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PolymarketRègles
I recently heard about the far out initiative from ACX grants.
- Will there be good evidence that they or someone like them succeeds in genetically modifying a vertebrate to suffer much less by the end of 2026?
- In the event of a difficult resolution, I'll resolve to my best judgement.
- I will not bet on this market.
- Comments are welcome to try to persuade me.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be any genetic modification which substantially reduces suffering in vertebrates by end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be any genetic modification which substantially reduces suffering in vertebrates by end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be any genetic modification which substantially reduces suffering in vertebrates by end of 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will there be any genetic modification which substantially reduces suffering in vertebrates by end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I recently heard about the far out initiative from ACX grants.